Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.472670 0.519593 0.570652 0.630596 0.699376 0.776222 0.869127
2025-06-08 0.389147 0.452596 0.527234 0.622617 0.742893 0.891773 1.093649
2025-06-15 0.350995 0.424720 0.516422 0.641236 0.810556 1.038295 1.378946
2025-06-22 0.311148 0.386978 0.485067 0.624788 0.824926 1.111926 1.576575
2025-06-29 0.285177 0.363017 0.467135 0.621464 0.853569 1.206690 1.823473
2025-07-06 0.257498 0.333463 0.437647 0.596806 0.845390 1.241784 1.978741
2025-07-13 0.246872 0.326000 0.437673 0.614368 0.902991 1.390305 2.370327
2025-07-20 0.237361 0.318996 0.437237 0.630488 0.959769 1.547354 2.826128
2025-07-27 0.226724 0.309298 0.431596 0.637208 1.000939 1.683541 3.284227
2025-08-03 0.211429 0.291468 0.411886 0.618448 0.993899 1.725172 3.540247
2025-08-10 0.197262 0.274376 0.391963 0.597206 0.979210 1.748252 3.758700
2025-08-17 0.187011 0.262618 0.379583 0.587629 0.985064 1.815239 4.118461
2025-08-24 0.177758 0.252165 0.369060 0.581240 0.998224 1.905596 4.600007
2025-08-31 0.169070 0.242146 0.358636 0.574227 1.009730 1.996515 5.137437
2025-09-07 0.165457 0.239955 0.361014 0.590923 1.072919 2.227791 6.289632
2025-09-14 0.156737 0.228933 0.347545 0.576190 1.066064 2.279646 6.820921
2025-09-21 0.150680 0.221935 0.340523 0.573210 1.084940 2.405476 7.749837
2025-09-28 0.142073 0.210247 0.324544 0.551087 1.056855 2.393518 8.064543
2025-10-05 0.139931 0.209250 0.327371 0.566848 1.119996 2.664494 10.000744
2025-10-12 0.137685 0.207927 0.329478 0.581299 1.182530 2.955928 12.443920
2025-10-19 0.134390 0.204607 0.327679 0.587318 1.224905 3.197527 14.970891
2025-10-26 0.128286 0.196112 0.315760 0.570506 1.205149 3.218060 15.964529
2025-11-02 0.122259 0.187516 0.303230 0.551447 1.177137 3.202785 16.689469